Hope everyone had a fantastic Thanksgiving! We did really well on our card. We went 3/3 on game lines and hit half of our props/TD scorers, including a few for multiple units! Hopefully you have plenty of bankroll to take into the rest of Week 12. This week’s games are not as enticing. The slate does not look very favorable but we will draw up a few plays to keep you engaged on Sunday. Let’s get after it!
49ers ML (-400)
Titans +7.5 (-290)
Dolphins -6.5 (-310)
Parlay: +125
The 49ers have been in peak form as of late. I will likely take their -8.5 point spread in some capacity but the number is a little high for me against New Orleans.
The Titans are 8-2 on the season and ATS. For the first time, Vegas has given us a tough line for Tennessee, as they are +2.5 against the Bengals. Cincinnati is a tough opponent and without a hook to take, I decided it was better to tease this one to a touchdown.
The Dolphins will get a similar treatment as the 49ers from me this week. As 14 point favorites, I fully intend to bet that spread with Davis Mills getting benched, however, Miami has been very streaky on defense and Houston has shown flashes throughout the season. 14 points is a lot to take with supreme confidence so I teased this one to a single touchdown as well.
Chargers -3 @ Cardinals (-105)
The Chargers we liked all preseason have finally arrived. After losing a heartbreaker to Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs last Sunday night, I do not think they will have much trouble with the floundering Arizona Cardinals. So long as they continue to remain healthy, we should get some favorable lines on LAC before the books catch up.
Austin Ekeler Anytime TD/Chargers ML Parlay (+130)
NBC Sports
Again, I do not see the Chargers having any issues with Arizona. Ekeler is a touchdown machine and the Cardinals struggle against the RB in all facets according to True Matchup Rank. In fact, they are the number one most favorable matchup to the RB. Hammer this one.
Michael Carter Anytime TD/Jets ML Parlay (+195)
Chicago is a very favorable matchup for the running back and with Mike White taking the reigns from Zach Wilson, I find it unlikely that New York does not lean heavily on the running game. May want to sprinkle on James Robinson at +340 as well. New York's defense should win them this game (6 point favorites).
Short slate this week! Let’s hammer Ekeler and keep our Thanksgiving momentum rolling.
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By Mike “Schiz” Schissel
For a second straight season, I am betting against Mahomes.