Welcome back to SchizPicks! We had a nice little even week last week on what was a lighter slate. The Chiefs and Titans came through with covers. Lenny and the Buccaneers sold out, ruining our chance for upside. We were a goal line hand-off to Saquon Barkley away from a big week! If you took Giants ML separately from the Saquon touchdown, we still made some money. Either way, we take these kinds of weeks as wins and move on to the next. As always, hit me up on Twitter for help with any parlays or other plays!
Game Lines and Wagers:
Titans -2.5 @ Texans (-115)
The Tennessee Titans have quietly been a wagon. We have hit with them several times already this season and at 4-2 ATS with the Week 2 blowout loss to the Bills being the major outlier, it is hard not to like this team when the spread is less than a single score. They are not a flashy team or all that fun to watch but they get the job done and that trend will continue this week in Houston.
NYG ML @ Seahawks (+135)
I will take NYG ML until I am blue in the face if they (we) continue to be listed as underdogs. Currently 3 point dogs, Vegas has this as an even matched game with the home field advantage going to Seattle. The Seahawks are another team playing well above their expectations, so this should be a great game to watch. I give the edge to the team that finds the way to win no matter what under the king of halftime adjustments, Mr. Brian Daboll. Another Giants W to add to our repertoire. New York is currently a league best 6-1 ATS.
49ers -1 @ LA Rams (-110)
It’s time to get back on the 49ers wagon. After an injury riddled loss to the Falcons and a valiant effort against the Chiefs, the 49ers head to LA hoping to return to form against a division foe. The last time these teams met, the 49ers took care of business, cruising to a 24-9 victory. The Rams are reeling, relying on Cooper Kupp as their only source of offense and struggling to get pressure around the edges on defense. San Fran can be a legitimate contender in a very weak NFC so expect them to get things going again. Deebo Samuel was just ruled out with a hamstring issue which is a tough blow, but I expect Christian McCaffrey to get more involved after a full week of practice and help fill the void.
Anytime TD/Moneyline Parlay
Stefon Diggs/Buffalo (+115)
David Butler II - USA Today
In Aaron Rodgers entire career, this is the first time he has ever been a double digit underdog (10.5 points). Respectfully, I do not care. There’s a first time for everything. Josh Allen is 6-1 ATS as a double digit favorite and the Packers defense looks more like swiss cheese than their usual yellow cheddar. I expect the Bills to lay the points and reiterate the message they’ve been sending all year - Super Bowl or bust. Bills by a million. That being said, why take the risk on the spread when you are being offered plus money to select a double digit favorite on the moneyline with their stud WR to find the end zone? I love the value here and will likely take more shares of this line than the Bills spread.
Anytime TD/Moneyline Parlay
Raheem Mostert/Miami (+150)
Raheem Mostert and the Dolphins get a Lions defense ranked 1st in true matchup rank against the run. With an over/under of 51.5, there should be plenty of room for scoring and Miami’s RB1 should get plenty of chances to produce.
TD Scorers
Jalen Hurts
Chris Olave
Derrick Henry
Saquon Barkley
Davante Adams
Good luck everyone. Let’s make some money!
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By Mike “Schiz” Schissel
For a second straight season, I am betting against Mahomes.